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HomeAwardsEmmy Nomination Predictions: Succession Poised to Dominate Alongside Dahmer, But Comedy Categories...

Emmy Nomination Predictions: Succession Poised to Dominate Alongside Dahmer, But Comedy Categories Are Too Close to Call

Emmy nomination voting is scheduled to close tonight, but knowing creatives as I do, many are no doubt waiting until the very last minute to cast their ballots.

Of course, HBO’s Succession is certainly poised to dominate the nominations alongside The White Lotus, Abbott Elementary, Ted Lasso, and Netflix’s awkwardly titled limited series Dahmer: Monster — The Jeffrey Dahmer Story.

It has been a fairly muted Emmy season, as none of the networks or streamers want to be seen celebrating too much given the ongoing Writers Strike. And with a potential SAG-AFTRA strike looming, the rest of the FYC season is up in the air if talent opts not to campaign for their shows.

Speaking of which, per Variety, there are 163 dramas, 95 comedies, and 51 limited/anthology series that have been submitted this year, which may be down from last year, but is still an impossible amount of content for any single voter to watch on their own, which is why it all comes down to taste.

Some of 2023's Best TV Performances
Daniel Radcliffe, Sydney Sweeney, B.J. Minor, and Isuri Wijiesundara delivered some of 2023’s best TV performances.

Mine hews a bit darker, which is why I’m more invested in the anthology/limited series category, where Dahmer is squaring off with another serial killer series, Black Bird, from Apple TV+. There were also some really strong TV movies this year, from HBO’s latecomer Reality starring Sydney Sweeney in a far cry from her character on Euphoria, and Weird, the Roku Channel’s tongue-in-cheek Al Yankovic biopic featuring a go-for-broke performance from Daniel Radcliffe.

I’m hoping that Emmy voters recognize the brilliance of the FX comedy Dave this year, and I’m rooting for Peacock’s Poker Face, which was far more entertaining than either of Rian Johnson‘s over-praised Knives Out movies. I also enjoyed Amazon’s genre offerings, The Boys (Antony Starr‘s performance as Homelander is chilling) and Hunters, as well as Taylor Sheridan‘s two crime shows outside of the Yellowstone franchise — Mayor of Kingstown and Tulsa King. And though I initially feared the second season of Your Honor, I have to say, it turned out pretty good.

Finally, I want to shine a light on two young performers who really impressed me in very limited screentime this year — B.J. Minor, who played a young Mike Tyson in Hulu’s limited series Mike, and Sri Lankan actress Isuri Wijesundara, who guest starred as the lead in the Little America Season 2 episode “The 9th Caller” on Apple TV+. Both of them have the talent to succeed in this business, and I hope Emmy voters give their episodes a fair shot.

Without further ado, here are my predictions for this year’s Emmy nominations. Stay tuned for updates, as there are rumblings within the awards community that the show could be pushed back to January, though that wouldn’t be necessary if the AMPTP would just hurry up and make a deal so we can end this madness… just saying!

The White Lotus
Beatrice Grannò and Simona Tabasco in The White Lotus/HBO

Drama Series

1. Succession
2. The White Lotus
3. The Last of Us
4. Better Call Saul
5. The Crown
6. Yellowjackets
7. House of the Dragon
8. The Diplomat

Alternate: Andor

Comedy Series

1. Abbott Elementary
2. The Bear
3. Ted Lasso
4. The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel
5. Shrinking
6. Barry
7. Only Murders in the Building
8. Poker Face

Alt: Wednesday

Limited/Anthology Series

1. Dahmer — Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story
2. Black Bird
3. Beef
4. Daisy Jones & the Six
5. A Small Light

Alt: Fleishman Is in Trouble

The Last of Us
Pedro Pascal in The Last of Us/HBO

Actor in a Drama Series

1. Jeremy Strong, Succession
2. Kieran Culkin, Succession
3. Bob Odenkirk, Better Call Saul
4. Brian Cox, Succession
5. Pedro Pascal, The Last of Us
6. Jeff Bridges, The Old Man

Alt: Paddy Considine, House of the Dragon

Actress in a Drama Series

1. Sarah Snook, Succession
2. Melanie Lynskey, Yellowjackets
3. Bella Ramsey, The Last of Us
4. Helen Mirren, 1923
5. Keri Russell, The Diplomat
6. Elisabeth Moss, The Handmaid’s Tale

Alt: Sharon Horgan, Bad Sisters

Supporting Actor in a Drama Series

1. Matthew Macfadyen, Succession
2. Giancarlo Esposito, Better Call Saul
3. Alexander Skarsgard, Succession
4. Nicholas Braun, Succession
5. John Lithgow, The Old Man
6. Jonathan Banks, Better Call Saul
7. F. Murray Abraham, The White Lotus
8. Matt Smith, House of the Dragon

Alt: Alan Ruck, Succession

Supporting Actress in a Drama Series

1. Jennifer Coolidge, The White Lotus
2. J. Smith-Cameron, Succession
3. Rhea Seehorn, Better Call Saul
4. Elizabeth Debicki, The Crown
5. Aubrey Plaza, The White Lotus
6. Meghann Fahy, The White Lotus
7. Christina Ricci, Yellowjackets
8. Carol Burnett, Better Call Saul

Alt: Sabrina Impacciatore, The White Lotus

Actor in a Comedy Series

1. Jeremy Allen White, The Bear
2. Jason Sudeikis, Ted Lasso
3. Bill Hader, Barry
4. Jason Segel, Shrinking
5. Martin Short, Only Murders in the Building

Alt: Steve Martin, Only Murders in the Building

Poker Face
Natasha Lyonne in Poker Face/Peacock

Actress in a Comedy Series

1. Quinta Brunson, Abbott Elementary
2. Rachel Brosnahan, The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel
3. Jenna Ortega, Wednesday
4. Natasha Lyonne, Poker Face
5. Christina Applegate, Dead to Me

Alt: Elle Fanning, The Great

Supporting Actor in a Comedy Series

1. Harrison Ford, Shrinking
2. Brett Goldstein, Ted Lasso
3. Tyler James Williams, Abbott Elementary
4. Henry Winkler, Barry
5. Tony Shalhoub, The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel
6. Anthony Carrigan, Barry
7. Ebon Moss-Bachrach, The Bear

Alt: James Marsden, Jury Duty

Supporting Actress in a Comedy Series

1. Sheryl Lee Ralph, Abbott Elementary
2. Hannah Waddingham, Ted Lasso
3. Sarah Goldberg, Barry
4. Ayo Edibiri, The Bear
5. Janelle James, Abbott Elementary
6. Alex Borstein, The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel
7. Jessica Williams, Shrinking

Alt: Juno Temple, Ted Lasso

Black Bird
Taron Egerton in Black Bird/Apple TV+

Actor in a Limited/Anthology Series or TV Movie

1. Evan Peters, Dahmer — Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story
2. Taron Egerton, Black Bird
3. Steven Yeun, Beef
4. Michael Shannon, George & Tammy
5. Ben Whishaw, This Is Going to Hurt
6. Sam Claflin, Daisy Jones & the Six

Alt: Jesse Eisenberg, Fleishman Is in Trouble

Actress in a Limited/Anthology Series

1. Jessica Chastain, George & Tammy
2. Ali Wong, Beef
3. Rachel Weisz, Dead Ringers
4. Riley Keough, Daisy Jones & the Six
5. Emily Blunt, The English
6. Bel Powley, A Small Light

Alt: Elizabeth Olsen, Love & Death

Supporting Actor in a Limited/Anthology Series or TV Movie

1. Paul Walter Hauser, Black Bird
2. Richard Jenkins, Dahmer — Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story
3. Domhnall Gleeson, The Patient
4. Jesse Plemons, Love & Death
5. Ray Liotta, Black Bird
6. Murray Bartlett, Welcome to Chippendales

Alt: Greg Kinnear, Black Bird

Fleishman Is in Trouble
Claire Danes in Fleishman Is in Trouble/FX

Supporting Actress in a Limited/Anthology Series or TV Movie

1. Niecy Nash-Betts, Dahmer — Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story
2. Claire Danes, Fleishman Is in Trouble
3. Michael Learned, Dahmer — Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story
4. Suki Waterhouse, Daisy Jones & the Six
5. Camila Morrone, Daisy Jones & the Six
6. Olivia Colman, Great Expectations

Alt: Lily Rabe, Love & Death

TV Movie

1. Weird: The Al Yankovic Story
2. Prey
3. Reality
4. Fire Island
5. Dolly Parton’s Mountain Magic Christmas

Alt: The Last Kingdom: Seven Kings Must Die

Documentary or Nonfiction Special

1. Still: A Michael J. Fox Movie
2. Pamela: A Love Story
3. Selena Gomez: My Mind & Me
4. Pretty Baby: Brooke Shields
5. Judy Blume Forever

Alt: If These Walls Could Sing



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